Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 45.2%). Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Krebs wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Hartman 45.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 58.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Krebs
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Krebs
Hartman
Last 5: Krebs 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
2
Krebs
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
45.1% (874)
-0.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
47.4% (95)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
37.5% (16)
+7.5%
On power play, Hartman has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Krebs shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hartman
Home
46.3% (205)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.4% (224)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Krebs
Hartman
P1
47.0%
47.3%
P2
45.4%
40.1%
P3
40.7%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |