Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.5%). Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hartman wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 69.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Hartman
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Hartman
Gourde
Last 10: Hartman 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Hartman
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
1
Hartman
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
47.2% (687)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
45.0% (20)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
33.0% (88)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Hartman shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Hartman
Gourde
Home
45.0% (515)
44.4% (356)
Away
45.3% (470)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Hartman
Gourde
P1
47.3%
42.2%
P2
40.1%
50.0%
P3
48.3%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |