Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.4%). Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Jokinen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Jokinen
Johansen
Last 10: Jokinen 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
4
Jokinen
Johansen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
0
Jokinen
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
50.5% (978)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jokinen is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (991).
Jokinen shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Johansen
Home
57.8% (1,369)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Jokinen
Johansen
P1
53.4%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
53.9%
P3
53.7%
52.8%
OT
66.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |