Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Johansen 52.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 73.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 72.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 72.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Barzal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barzal
Johansen
Last 5: Barzal 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Barzal
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Barzal
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
49.4% (1,010)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
62.3% (236)
-21.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Barzal
Johansen
Home
49.6% (242)
54.7% (655)
Away
43.3% (263)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Barzal
Johansen
P1
42.4%
52.2%
P2
49.5%
50.7%
P3
47.7%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |