Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.6% vs Johansen 52.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 56.9%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 64.9%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 56.2%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lapierre
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lapierre
Johansen
Last 5: Lapierre 0-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Lapierre
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Lapierre
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Lapierre
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (527)
52.5% (1,002)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
49.5% (111)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lapierre is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Lapierre shoots right. Johansen is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Johansen
Home
51.8% (309)
54.7% (632)
Away
49.6% (284)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Lapierre
Johansen
P1
51.0%
54.3%
P2
57.2%
53.5%
P3
44.1%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |