Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 50.7% vs Kesler 57.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 62.8%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 77.2%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 65.0%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Gauthier
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gauthier
Kesler
Last 9: Gauthier 3-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Gauthier
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Gauthier
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (154)
57.6% (1,225)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.5% (263)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
51.5% (305)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Gauthier is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gauthier shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Kesler
Home
52.4% (126)
59.1% (881)
Away
49.5% (109)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Gauthier
Kesler
P1
47.3%
56.6%
P2
52.4%
58.2%
P3
55.0%
57.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
51.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |