Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Norris 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 53.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Norris
Kesler
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Norris
Kesler
Home
53.1% (1,896)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Norris
Kesler
P1
55.5%
56.5%
P2
51.5%
55.9%
P3
50.1%
56.1%
OT
39.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%