Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs McLeod 47.4% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 61.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 53.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Lazar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
McLeod
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Lazar
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
49.0% (827)
+14.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
44.0% (91)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
43.0% (272)
+13.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Lazar
McLeod
Home
63.0% (135)
48.5% (619)
Away
59.3% (118)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Lazar
McLeod
P1
64.6%
52.7%
P2
60.0%
43.9%
P3
59.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
67.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |