Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs McLeod 49.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 61.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 60.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Jankowski
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Jankowski
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Jankowski
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Jankowski
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
50.4% (3,376)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
50.7% (296)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
44.1% (644)
-1.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Jankowski
McLeod
Home
51.8% (1,961)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Jankowski
McLeod
P1
49.8%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
48.0%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
OT
20.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |