Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs McLeod 47.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.8%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 59.2%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 55.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Sundqvist
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
McLeod
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Sundqvist
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
49.0% (827)
-2.2%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
44.0% (91)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
43.0% (272)
+0.5%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
McLeod
Home
46.0% (189)
48.5% (619)
Away
47.8% (207)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Sundqvist
McLeod
P1
44.7%
52.7%
P2
47.6%
43.9%
P3
48.6%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |