Daniel Winnik vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.6%
Defensive zone
Winnik 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Winnik 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
1
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
44.9% (8,714)
+1.0%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
50.3% (829)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
37.8% (875)
-0.7%
On power play, Winnik has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.5% (406)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
39.2% (446)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.8%
45.1%
P2
40.6%
43.8%
P3
42.8%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |