Matt Stajan vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stajan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 46.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 84.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 79.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stajan 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
5
2
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (615)
39.8% (508)
+6.9%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
60.5% (38)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (138)
20.0% (5)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Stajan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.6% (379)
42.6% (237)
Away
46.8% (391)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.2%
33.3%
P2
46.9%
45.1%
P3
47.7%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |