Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 44.8% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lander 59.1%
Neutral zone
Lander 59.0%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Lander
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lander
O'Reilly
Last 6: Lander 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Lander
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (296)
52.5% (1,177)
-6.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.6% (130)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
52.8% (108)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lander is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Lander shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Lander
O'Reilly
Home
47.7% (195)
54.9% (669)
Away
37.6% (149)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Lander
O'Reilly
P1
39.7%
52.4%
P2
45.9%
56.1%
P3
45.0%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
42.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
43.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |