Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.6% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 71.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 74.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Haula
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Haula
O'Reilly
Last 8: Haula 1-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Haula
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Haula
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Haula
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (516)
57.3% (1,073)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
58.5% (258)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
50.7% (225)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Haula shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Haula
O'Reilly
Home
58.8% (386)
59.2% (765)
Away
48.4% (318)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Haula
O'Reilly
P1
53.8%
55.6%
P2
55.2%
61.0%
P3
53.2%
52.3%
OT
60.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |