Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.6% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 72.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 73.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 70.9%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Richards
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
O'Reilly
Last 5: Richards 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Richards
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Richards
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (352)
56.9% (1,203)
-7.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
60.2% (329)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (116)
50.4% (280)
-1.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Richards shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Richards
O'Reilly
Home
49.4% (247)
58.6% (879)
Away
49.6% (228)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Richards
O'Reilly
P1
53.8%
55.6%
P2
47.7%
57.9%
P3
47.3%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |