Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubois wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 48.9% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 63.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Dubois
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dubois
O'Reilly
Last 5: Dubois 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (259)
55.7% (856)
-10.9%
Power Play
70.6% (34)
57.5% (233)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
50.0% (144)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Dubois shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Dubois
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (163)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.7% (138)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Dubois
O'Reilly
P1
44.0%
58.1%
P2
51.5%
54.9%
P3
49.5%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |