Ryan Carpenter vs Ryan O'Reilly

2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carpenter 50.2% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor O'Reilly leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Carpenter 84.1%
Defensive zone Carpenter 80.4%
Neutral zone Carpenter 79.8%
Result Ryan Carpenter favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Carpenter O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 12 (14 meetings)
2
12
Carpenter O'Reilly
Last 10: Carpenter 1-9 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
6
Carpenter O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Carpenter O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Carpenter O'Reilly
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carpenter
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (314)
60.3% (1,517)
-11.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
61.5% (387)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (79)
55.0% (220)
+2.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +11.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Carpenter shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Carpenter
O'Reilly
Home
55.8% (197)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
44.8% (201)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Carpenter
O'Reilly
P1
48.3%
56.8%
P2
47.8%
64.6%
P3
54.6%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.8%
59.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%
47.0%
50.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%
54.5%
60.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 10, 2018 OT 03:18 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018 3 13:18 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018 2 05:44 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2018 1 13:05 Offensive Ryan Carpenter
Mar 10, 2018 1 09:30 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 28, 2017 3 13:10 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 28, 2017 2 02:26 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 28, 2017 1 16:54 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 28, 2017 1 08:19 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 12, 2017 3 14:59 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 12, 2017 3 06:52 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 12, 2017 2 14:30 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Oct 12, 2017 2 09:27 Neutral Ryan Carpenter
Oct 12, 2017 1 15:49 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly