Ryan O'Reilly vs Vladimir Sobotka
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.0%). Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Sobotka 55.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
2
O'Reilly
Sobotka
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
3
O'Reilly
Sobotka
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
2
O'Reilly
Sobotka
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,103)
56.9% (2,613)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.7% (3,395)
57.0% (223)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (2,769)
50.6% (447)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
O'Reilly shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Home
57.6% (10,669)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
54.4% (10,631)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
O'Reilly
Sobotka
P1
55.5%
56.2%
P2
57.0%
56.3%
P3
55.2%
55.3%
OT
62.7%
61.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |