Ryan O'Reilly vs Vladimir Sobotka
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.6% vs Sobotka 55.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Last 5: O'Reilly 1-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
O'Reilly
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
2
O'Reilly
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,177)
56.0% (373)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
57.1% (21)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
56.1% (107)
-3.3%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
O'Reilly shoots left. Sobotka is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Sobotka
Home
54.9% (669)
58.4% (255)
Away
51.0% (774)
53.7% (246)
By Period
O'Reilly
Sobotka
P1
52.4%
53.4%
P2
56.1%
57.9%
P3
49.8%
55.5%
OT
57.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |