Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Poehling 47.9% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 55.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 51.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Lazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Poehling
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Lazar
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
50.5% (666)
+13.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
38.6% (215)
+17.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Poehling is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Lazar
Poehling
Home
63.0% (135)
47.3% (404)
Away
59.3% (118)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Lazar
Poehling
P1
64.6%
53.5%
P2
60.0%
40.1%
P3
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
67.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |