Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Veleno wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Poehling 48.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 51.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 78.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 66.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Veleno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Veleno
Poehling
Last 10: Veleno 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
5
2
Veleno
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Veleno
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
9
3
Veleno
Poehling
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
49.6% (2,780)
-2.3%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
51.6% (93)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
41.7% (635)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Veleno shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poehling
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Veleno
Poehling
P1
47.9%
50.8%
P2
47.7%
47.1%
P3
45.9%
47.2%
OT
35.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | OT | 02:08 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |