Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stankoven on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stankoven wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stankoven 44.6% vs Poehling 47.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stankoven 62.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 94.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 83.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Stankoven
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stankoven
Poehling
Last 5: Stankoven 4-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stankoven
2
0
Stankoven
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stankoven
2
1
Stankoven
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stankoven
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (727)
50.5% (666)
-6.3%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
58.3% (12)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
38.6% (215)
+11.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Stankoven is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Stankoven shoots right. Poehling is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Stankoven
Poehling
Home
44.4% (423)
47.3% (404)
Away
43.5% (398)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Stankoven
Poehling
P1
43.1%
53.5%
P2
43.9%
40.1%
P3
45.3%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
39.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stankoven
42.0%▬
42.5%
44.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Logan Stankoven |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |