Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Poehling 48.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 76.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 61.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Geekie
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Geekie
Poehling
Last 10: Geekie 3-7 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Geekie
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
6
Geekie
Poehling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
3
Geekie
Poehling
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,310)
49.6% (2,780)
-0.9%
Power Play
46.0% (189)
51.6% (93)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
41.7% (635)
+4.0%
On power play, Poehling has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Geekie shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Geekie
Poehling
Home
50.1% (1,283)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
46.8% (1,345)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Geekie
Poehling
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
48.9%
47.1%
P3
47.7%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |