Scouting Report
Steve Begin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Begin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smyth wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Begin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smyth 45.4% vs Begin 49.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Begin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smyth 68.7%
Defensive zone
Smyth 71.9%
Neutral zone
Smyth 68.7%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Smyth
Begin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Smyth
Begin
Last 10: Smyth 3-7 Begin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Begin
0
4
Smyth
Begin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smyth
Begin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Smyth
Begin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smyth
Begin
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (155)
52.6% (95)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
28.6% (21)
+3.0%
On power play, Begin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Begin shoots left. Smyth is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Smyth shoots left. Begin is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Smyth
Begin
Home
42.2% (102)
52.1% (48)
Away
44.0% (100)
46.4% (69)
By Period
Smyth
Begin
P1
50.8%
52.9%
P2
41.3%
40.0%
P3
39.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Begin
56.0%▲
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Steve Begin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |