Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Spooner 45.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 62.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 81.5%
Neutral zone
Paquette 59.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Paquette
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Paquette
Spooner
Last 7: Paquette 5-2 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Paquette
Spooner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Spooner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
43.8% (194)
+2.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
37.5% (16)
-37.5%
On power play, Spooner has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Paquette is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Paquette shoots left. Spooner is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Paquette
Spooner
Home
50.2% (233)
42.3% (104)
Away
44.0% (266)
44.3% (106)
By Period
Paquette
Spooner
P1
42.0%
40.6%
P2
47.6%
51.9%
P3
51.6%
36.1%
Final 5 min
43.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |