Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 54.6% vs Spooner 51.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 79.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 65.6%
Neutral zone
Spooner 62.8%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Berglund
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Berglund
Spooner
Last 5: Berglund 2-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
3
Berglund
Spooner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Spooner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (86)
52.5% (99)
+6.8%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
46.2% (13)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
100.0% (1)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Spooner has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Berglund is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Berglund shoots left. Spooner is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Berglund
Spooner
Home
60.7% (61)
55.2% (58)
Away
56.4% (55)
49.1% (55)
By Period
Berglund
Spooner
P1
66.7%
55.3%
P2
63.0%
58.3%
P3
46.3%
41.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |