Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Strome 47.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 83.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 60.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Strome
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Lazar
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
47.8% (813)
+6.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.4% (133)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
32.7% (98)
+9.0%
On power play, Strome has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
53.1% (211)
47.5% (535)
Away
48.7% (150)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
45.3%
46.4%
P2
52.8%
48.3%
P3
54.7%
47.9%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |