Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Strome 45.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Staal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Staal
Strome
Last 6: Staal 6-0 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
44.4% (297)
+11.8%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
35.7% (28)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
50.0% (4)
-7.3%
On power play, Staal has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Strome is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Staal
Strome
Home
55.4% (699)
42.6% (188)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Staal
Strome
P1
55.7%
38.9%
P2
54.7%
47.1%
P3
53.4%
44.6%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Strome
44.0%▬
43.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |