Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 82.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Bjugstad
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
12
(35 meetings)
23
12
Bjugstad
Strome
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
9
5
Bjugstad
Strome
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
3
Bjugstad
Strome
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
4
Bjugstad
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
44.2% (6,887)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
49.2% (855)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
41.5% (410)
+2.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Strome
Home
49.8% (4,023)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Bjugstad
Strome
P1
48.9%
43.9%
P2
49.1%
45.4%
P3
48.5%
44.4%
OT
61.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |