Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 50.4% vs Plekanec 48.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.7%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 64.1%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 50.6%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Koivu
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Koivu
Plekanec
Last 9: Koivu 3-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Koivu
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Koivu
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (912)
47.1% (1,214)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.1% (44)
60.2% (128)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (111)
46.6% (371)
+0.2%
On even strength, Koivu has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Koivu shoots left. Plekanec is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,009).
Home / Away
Koivu
Plekanec
Home
51.5% (610)
49.4% (853)
Away
49.0% (457)
46.6% (860)
By Period
Koivu
Plekanec
P1
48.5%
49.5%
P2
51.5%
46.7%
P3
51.1%
48.0%
OT
57.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |