Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Sobotka 55.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 75.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.0%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 58.8%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Koivu
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Sobotka
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Koivu
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
56.0% (373)
-3.8%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
57.1% (21)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
56.1% (107)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Sobotka is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sobotka
Home
54.0% (639)
58.4% (255)
Away
50.7% (594)
53.7% (246)
By Period
Koivu
Sobotka
P1
52.7%
53.4%
P2
50.4%
57.9%
P3
54.1%
55.5%
OT
47.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |