Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Bennett 48.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 54.6%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 83.5%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 62.5%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Sourdif
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sourdif
Bennett
Last 5: Sourdif 0-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sourdif
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Sourdif
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sourdif
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
46.4% (811)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
56.9% (153)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
47.8% (46)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Bennett
Home
43.6% (321)
49.9% (553)
Away
46.2% (301)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Sourdif
Bennett
P1
41.9%
47.4%
P2
44.3%
46.8%
P3
47.9%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |