Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Bennett 48.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 63.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Foligno
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Foligno
Bennett
Last 8: Foligno 5-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Foligno
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
46.4% (811)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
56.9% (153)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
47.8% (46)
-0.6%
On even strength, Foligno has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Foligno shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bennett
Home
48.9% (178)
49.9% (553)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Foligno
Bennett
P1
43.0%
47.4%
P2
55.9%
46.8%
P3
50.0%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |