Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.2% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 70.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Bennett
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bennett
Karlsson
Last 6: Bennett 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
0
Bennett
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Bennett
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (811)
58.5% (135)
-12.1%
Power Play
56.9% (153)
80.0% (5)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
44.4% (18)
+3.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Bennett shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Bennett
Karlsson
Home
49.9% (553)
63.7% (91)
Away
45.7% (457)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Bennett
Karlsson
P1
47.4%
54.4%
P2
46.8%
66.7%
P3
48.9%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |