Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lapierre wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 90.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 57.7%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 78.8%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Lapierre
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lapierre
Carrick
Last 6: Lapierre 1-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Lapierre
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (275)
53.9% (521)
-15.7%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
57.1% (35)
-57.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lapierre is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Lapierre shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Carrick
Home
37.3% (153)
52.7% (408)
Away
37.8% (127)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Lapierre
Carrick
P1
46.1%
51.4%
P2
38.1%
56.6%
P3
25.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
37.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |