Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.3%). Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Carrick 52.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 59.3%
Defensive zone
Beecher 82.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 65.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Beecher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Beecher
Carrick
Last 5: Beecher 0-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Beecher
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Beecher
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (988)
52.2% (2,544)
+0.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
61.3% (75)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (219)
50.8% (435)
-5.1%
On power play, Beecher has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beecher is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (513).
Beecher shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Beecher
Carrick
Home
51.4% (562)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.1% (656)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Beecher
Carrick
P1
53.5%
51.8%
P2
48.0%
52.3%
P3
53.9%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
42.0%▼
44.5%
51.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |