Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 54.2% vs Carrick 54.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 72.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.6%
Neutral zone
MacLean 57.6%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
MacLean
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacLean
Carrick
Last 6: MacLean 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
MacLean
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
MacLean
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (74)
55.5% (470)
+4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (58)
+50.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. MacLean is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (30).
MacLean shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
MacLean
Carrick
Home
64.3% (28)
58.6% (261)
Away
57.1% (49)
51.5% (270)
By Period
MacLean
Carrick
P1
44.0%
55.9%
P2
78.1%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
76.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
59.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |