Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.3%). Johnson wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 51.5% vs Carrick 52.2% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 56.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.1%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Johnson
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (434)
52.2% (2,544)
+1.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
61.3% (75)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (81)
50.8% (435)
-10.1%
On power play, Johnson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Johnson is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Johnson shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Johnson
Carrick
Home
50.8% (252)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.6% (268)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Johnson
Carrick
P1
52.1%
51.8%
P2
47.4%
52.3%
P3
56.4%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%