Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Chartier wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 50.0% vs Carrick 52.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 52.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Chartier
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Chartier
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
1
0
Chartier
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (329)
52.2% (2,544)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.3% (75)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (79)
50.8% (435)
-5.2%
On power play, Chartier has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Chartier is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Chartier shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Chartier
Carrick
Home
48.3% (240)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.3% (174)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Chartier
Carrick
P1
51.5%
51.8%
P2
48.1%
52.3%
P3
50.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |