Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hecht wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Gagner 47.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 73.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 50.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Hecht
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hecht
Gagner
Last 6: Hecht 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
4
2
Hecht
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
47.6% (599)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.7% (86)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
60.0% (5)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hecht is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Hecht shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Hecht
Gagner
Home
49.3% (150)
49.5% (331)
Away
41.3% (150)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Hecht
Gagner
P1
44.3%
47.7%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
41.9%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |