Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.4% vs Gagner 47.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 72.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Strome
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Strome
Gagner
Last 6: Strome 5-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (337)
45.9% (815)
-3.8%
Power Play
61.8% (34)
55.3% (132)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
25.0% (16)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Strome is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Strome shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Strome
Gagner
Home
44.3% (194)
48.7% (542)
Away
43.9% (180)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Strome
Gagner
P1
44.7%
45.1%
P2
44.1%
46.6%
P3
42.4%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | OT | 00:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |