Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 57.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 68.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Compher
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Compher
Lafferty
Last 5: Compher 4-1 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
52.2% (366)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
60.0% (15)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
46.2% (104)
-2.6%
On power play, Lafferty has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Compher shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Compher
Lafferty
Home
50.7% (872)
53.1% (258)
Away
46.8% (793)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Compher
Lafferty
P1
49.9%
52.5%
P2
47.9%
49.7%
P3
49.0%
51.3%
OT
46.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |