Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kurashev on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kurashev wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 46.6% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Kurashev leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 79.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 72.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 69.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Kurashev
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kurashev
Reinhart
Last 10: Kurashev 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
6
1
Kurashev
Reinhart
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Kurashev
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
3
0
Kurashev
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (145)
49.4% (259)
-6.6%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
54.4% (136)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
47.9% (71)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Kurashev has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Kurashev is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Kurashev shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Reinhart
Home
51.2% (82)
54.9% (235)
Away
39.8% (108)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Kurashev
Reinhart
P1
51.7%
52.3%
P2
45.7%
50.0%
P3
37.0%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.7%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |