Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Coyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Coyle
Steel
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
6
Coyle
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
7
Coyle
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
62.6% (179)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
37.4% (254)
+6.1%
On power play, Steel has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Coyle
Steel
Home
49.8% (4,865)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Coyle
Steel
P1
49.5%
51.9%
P2
48.3%
49.5%
P3
48.8%
49.6%
OT
49.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |