Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 45.9%). Smith wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.7% vs Helenius 46.6% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Smith 55.5%
Defensive zone
Helenius 58.2%
Neutral zone
Helenius 53.8%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Smith
Helenius
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (212)
46.3% (488)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
20.0% (5)
-10.9%
On power play, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots left. Helenius is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Smith
Helenius
Home
43.0% (114)
44.5% (272)
Away
50.4% (113)
47.5% (223)
By Period
Smith
Helenius
P1
45.6%
50.6%
P2
49.4%
40.1%
P3
45.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.9%