Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Helenius 46.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 62.2%
Defensive zone
Helenius 62.1%
Neutral zone
Helenius 62.3%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Bjugstad
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bjugstad
Helenius
Last 5: Bjugstad 0-5 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Bjugstad
Helenius
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Bjugstad
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
3
Bjugstad
Helenius
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
45.8% (212)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
25.0% (4)
+22.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Helenius is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Helenius
Home
48.7% (193)
46.2% (104)
Away
50.4% (141)
44.2% (113)
By Period
Bjugstad
Helenius
P1
41.5%
51.3%
P2
57.3%
38.6%
P3
50.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |