Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Burish wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burish 66.5%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 75.0%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 56.0%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Burish
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Burish
Pahlsson
Last 6: Burish 1-5 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Burish
1
0
Burish
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Burish
Pahlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Burish
Pahlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
54.3% (782)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
62.5% (16)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
45.8% (216)
+4.2%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Burish is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Burish shoots right. Pahlsson is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Burish
Pahlsson
Home
60.7% (183)
51.8% (508)
Away
51.5% (206)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Burish
Pahlsson
P1
53.3%
52.8%
P2
56.3%
52.1%
P3
57.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |