Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hecht wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pahlsson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 92.1%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 88.7%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Hecht
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hecht
Pahlsson
Last 5: Hecht 4-1 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Pahlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
1
Hecht
Pahlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
54.3% (782)
-7.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
62.5% (16)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
45.8% (216)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Hecht is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Hecht shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Hecht
Pahlsson
Home
49.3% (150)
51.8% (508)
Away
41.3% (150)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Hecht
Pahlsson
P1
44.3%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
52.1%
P3
41.9%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |