Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Couturier 53.6% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 65.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 75.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 69.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Giroux
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Giroux
Couturier
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
2
Giroux
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
Giroux
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Giroux
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
53.9% (792)
+7.1%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
62.9% (70)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
51.3% (234)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Giroux
Couturier
Home
66.6% (350)
51.4% (541)
Away
59.2% (346)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Giroux
Couturier
P1
62.1%
56.0%
P2
64.7%
52.6%
P3
61.6%
54.3%
OT
69.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
61.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 01:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |