Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.1%). Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Couturier 54.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 65.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Ryan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Ryan
Couturier
Last 8: Ryan 1-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Ryan
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Ryan
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Ryan
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
55.5% (887)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
51.9% (79)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
54.0% (100)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Couturier is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couturier
Home
57.7% (355)
52.4% (521)
Away
52.8% (352)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Ryan
Couturier
P1
57.9%
53.4%
P2
53.2%
55.7%
P3
54.8%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |